ESN Fall Showdown 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21337 ban
62%50%
The Huns · 17 mapsedge The Huns +12%1337 · 0 maps
NukeThe Huns pick
53%50%
The Huns · 15 mapsnearly even +3%1337 · 0 maps
InfernoThe Huns ban
24%50%
The Huns · 13 mapsedge 1337 +26%1337 · 0 maps
AncientThe Huns ban
53%50%
The Huns · 11 mapsnearly even +3%1337 · 0 maps
Mirage1337 pick
33%50%
The Huns · 8 mapsedge 1337 +17%1337 · 0 maps
Cache1337 ban
56%50%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge The Huns +6%1337 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Inferno
2. Ban1337 remove Dust2
3. PickThe Huns take Nuke
4. Pick1337 take Mirage
5. Ban1337 remove Cache
6. BanThe Huns remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
The Huns 56%1337 44%
The model gave 56% on The Huns — the map was taken by 1337.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
The Huns 31%1337 69%
The model gave 69% on 1337 — the map was taken by The Huns.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
The Huns 53%1337 47%
The model gave 53% on The Huns — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 63%
Series resultThe Huns 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3