MESA Pro Series Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Chinggis Warriors pick
33%50%
The Huns · 8 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +17%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
NukeThe Huns ban
33%56%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +23%Chinggis Warriors · 5 maps
AncientThe Huns pick
50%57%
The Huns · 6 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +7%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
InfernoChinggis Warriors ban
60%44%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +16%Chinggis Warriors · 5 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
38%33%
The Huns · 4 mapsedge The Huns +5%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%67%
The Huns · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
OverpassChinggis Warriors ban
60%33%
The Huns · 1 mapedge The Huns +27%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Nuke
2. BanChinggis Warriors remove Overpass
3. PickThe Huns take Ancient
4. PickChinggis Warriors take Dust2
5. BanChinggis Warriors remove Inferno
6. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (71% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
The Huns 62%Chinggis Warriors 38%
The model gave 62% on The Huns — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
The Huns 31%Chinggis Warriors 69%
The model gave 69% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by The Huns.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
The Huns 33%Chinggis Warriors 67%
The model gave 67% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 62%
Series resultThe Huns 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3