ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Huns#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NEXVOID#102 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
24%67%
The Huns · 13 mapsedge NEXVOID +43%NEXVOID · 17 maps
AncientThe Huns ban
57%71%
The Huns · 10 mapsedge NEXVOID +14%NEXVOID · 17 maps
Dust2possible decider
62%46%
The Huns · 17 mapsedge The Huns +16%NEXVOID · 9 maps
NukeThe Huns pick
56%36%
The Huns · 14 mapsedge The Huns +20%NEXVOID · 7 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
56%22%
The Huns · 5 mapsedge The Huns +34%NEXVOID · 5 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
33%50%
The Huns · 8 mapsedge NEXVOID +17%NEXVOID · 0 maps
AnubisThe Huns ban
50%50%
The Huns · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Huns remove Anubis
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickThe Huns take Nuke
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
6. BanThe Huns remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (62% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed20:22
The Huns 71%NEXVOID 29%
The model gave 71% on The Huns — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
The Huns 32%NEXVOID 68%
The model gave 68% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 71%
Series resultNEXVOID 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2