NODWIN Clutch Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
The Last Resort#159 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%67%
The Last Resort · 10 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT pick
63%58%
The Last Resort · 4 mapsedge The Last Resort +5%HYPERSPIRIT · 8 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
50%50%
The Last Resort · 12 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
AnubisThe Last Resort ban
43%43%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort pick
71%29%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +42%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
40%44%
The Last Resort · 1 mapnearly even -4%HYPERSPIRIT · 5 maps
OverpassHYPERSPIRIT ban
67%40%
The Last Resort · 5 mapsedge The Last Resort +27%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickThe Last Resort take Inferno
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Dust2
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Overpass
6. BanThe Last Resort remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
The Last Resort 51%HYPERSPIRIT 49%
The model gave 51% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
The Last Resort 88%HYPERSPIRIT 12%
The model gave 88% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 66%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2