UKIC Masters Fall 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Privateer#226 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeThe Last Resort pick
50%42%
The Last Resort · 14 mapsedge The Last Resort +8%Privateer · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
47%40%
The Last Resort · 11 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%Privateer · 6 maps
Dust2Privateer ban
42%30%
The Last Resort · 8 mapsedge The Last Resort +12%Privateer · 6 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort ban
56%67%
The Last Resort · 5 mapsedge Privateer +11%Privateer · 2 maps
CachePrivateer ban
56%40%
The Last Resort · 5 mapsedge The Last Resort +16%Privateer · 1 map
MirageThe Last Resort ban
40%38%
The Last Resort · 1 mapnearly even +2%Privateer · 4 maps
OverpassPrivateer pick
67%50%
The Last Resort · 5 mapsedge The Last Resort +17%Privateer · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
2. BanPrivateer remove Cache
3. PickThe Last Resort take Nuke
4. PickPrivateer take Overpass
5. BanPrivateer remove Dust2
6. BanThe Last Resort remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (47% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
The Last Resort 55%Privateer 45%
The model gave 55% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
The Last Resort 65%Privateer 35%
The model gave 65% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 76%
Series resultThe Last Resort 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2