ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
The QUBE#243 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientThe QUBE pick
40%50%
The QUBE · 1 mapedge bLight blue +10%bLight blue · 0 maps
CachebLight blue ban
40%50%
The QUBE · 1 mapedge bLight blue +10%bLight blue · 0 maps
Dust2bLight blue pick
50%40%
The QUBE · 0 mapsedge The QUBE +10%bLight blue · 1 map
InfernoThe QUBE ban
50%40%
The QUBE · 0 mapsedge The QUBE +10%bLight blue · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe QUBE remove Inferno
2. BanbLight blue remove Cache
3. PickThe QUBE take Ancient
4. PickbLight blue take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
The QUBE 57%bLight blue 43%
The model gave 57% on The QUBE — the map was taken by The QUBE.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
The QUBE 53%bLight blue 47%
The model gave 53% on The QUBE — the map was taken by bLight blue.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
The QUBE 40%bLight blue 60%
The model gave 60% on bLight blue — the map was taken by bLight blue.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe QUBE · 51%
Series resultbLight blue 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3