BRO Cyber League Season 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Game Point#229 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Game Point pick
40%50%
Total Domination · 1 mapedge Game Point +10%Game Point · 4 maps
MirageTotal Domination pick
40%29%
Total Domination · 1 mapedge Total Domination +11%Game Point · 3 maps
AncientTotal Domination ban
50%33%
Total Domination · 0 mapsedge Total Domination +17%Game Point · 2 maps
InfernoGame Point ban
50%40%
Total Domination · 0 mapsedge Total Domination +10%Game Point · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTotal Domination remove Ancient
2. BanGame Point remove Inferno
3. PickTotal Domination take Mirage
4. PickGame Point take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
Total Domination 57%Game Point 43%
The model gave 57% on Total Domination — the map was taken by Game Point.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
Total Domination 65%Game Point 35%
The model gave 65% on Total Domination — the map was taken by Total Domination.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Total Domination 40%Game Point 60%
The model gave 60% on Game Point — the map was taken by Total Domination.
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Point · 54%
Series resultTotal Domination 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3