CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionTDTropa do KinGui#144 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTropa do KinGui pick
67%56%
Tropa do KinGui · 2 mapsedge Tropa do KinGui +11%BORRACHEIROS · 14 maps
MirageBORRACHEIROS pick
60%53%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +7%BORRACHEIROS · 13 maps
AnubisTropa do KinGui ban
60%60%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapnearly even +0%BORRACHEIROS · 11 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
50%46%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsnearly even +4%BORRACHEIROS · 9 maps
InfernoTropa do KinGui ban
50%50%
Tropa do KinGui · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BORRACHEIROS · 8 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
60%38%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +22%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%43%
Tropa do KinGui · 1 mapedge Tropa do KinGui +17%BORRACHEIROS · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTropa do KinGui remove Inferno
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
3. PickTropa do KinGui take Ancient
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Mirage
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
6. BanTropa do KinGui remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (60% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct19:17
Tropa do KinGui 54%BORRACHEIROS 46%
The model gave 54% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Tropa do KinGui 64%BORRACHEIROS 36%
The model gave 64% on Tropa do KinGui — the map was taken by Tropa do KinGui.
Model check result
Model favoriteTropa do KinGui · 55%
Series resultTropa do KinGui 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2