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Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
63%63%
Turma do Pagode · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 4 maps
Dust2Turma do Pagode pick
63%43%
Turma do Pagode · 4 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +20%Galorys · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
57%38%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +19%Galorys · 4 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
33%29%
Turma do Pagode · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Galorys · 3 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
50%71%
Turma do Pagode · 0 mapsedge Galorys +21%Galorys · 3 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
60%50%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +10%Galorys · 0 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
40%50%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Galorys +10%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Dust2
4. PickGalorys take Ancient
5. BanGalorys remove Anubis
6. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (57% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Turma do Pagode 71%Galorys 29%
The model gave 71% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Turma do Pagode 53%Galorys 47%
The model gave 53% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Turma do Pagode 50%Galorys 50%
The model gave 50% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 74%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3