CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yawara#156 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
70%59%
Turma do Pagode · 19 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +11%Yawara · 13 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%47%
Turma do Pagode · 17 mapsnearly even -4%Yawara · 11 maps
AnubisYawara pick
50%53%
Turma do Pagode · 8 mapsnearly even -3%Yawara · 13 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
57%33%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +24%Yawara · 14 maps
InfernoTurma do Pagode ban
56%57%
Turma do Pagode · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Yawara · 3 maps
CacheYawara ban
60%20%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +40%Yawara · 6 maps
NukeYawara ban
43%50%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge Yawara +7%Yawara · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
2. BanYawara remove Nuke
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
4. PickYawara take Anubis
5. BanYawara remove Cache
6. BanTurma do Pagode remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (43% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
Turma do Pagode 84%Yawara 16%
The model gave 84% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Ancientprediction correct22:18
Turma do Pagode 64%Yawara 36%
The model gave 64% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteTurma do Pagode · 61%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2