PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Turma do Pagodewin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientyour end ban
63%50%
Turma do Pagode · 4 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +13%your end · 0 maps
Dust2Turma do Pagode pick
43%50%
Turma do Pagode · 3 mapsedge your end +7%your end · 0 maps
Infernoyour end pick
33%50%
Turma do Pagode · 2 mapsedge your end +17%your end · 0 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
60%50%
Turma do Pagode · 1 mapedge Turma do Pagode +10%your end · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
2. Banyour end remove Ancient
3. PickTurma do Pagode take Dust2
4. Pickyour end take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
Turma do Pagode 47%your end 53%
The model gave 53% on your end — the map was taken by your end.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
Turma do Pagode 65%your end 35%
The model gave 65% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Turma do Pagode 43%your end 57%
The model gave 57% on your end — the map was taken by Turma do Pagode.
Model check result
Model favoriteTurma do Pagode · 50%
Series resultTurma do Pagode 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3