FISSURE Playground 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegion#19 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageGamerLegion ban
69%25%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge TYLOO +44%GamerLegion · 4 maps
AncientGamerLegion pick
63%56%
TYLOO · 4 mapsedge TYLOO +7%GamerLegion · 5 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
42%40%
TYLOO · 8 mapsnearly even +2%GamerLegion · 1 map
Nukepossible decider
38%38%
TYLOO · 4 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 4 maps
CacheTYLOO ban
60%67%
TYLOO · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 2 maps
DefaultGamerLegion ban
67%40%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +27%GamerLegion · 1 map
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%43%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +7%GamerLegion · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickGamerLegion take Ancient
5. BanGamerLegion remove Default
6. BanTYLOO remove Cache
DeciderNuke (38% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
TYLOO 54%GamerLegion 46%
The model gave 54% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
TYLOO 88%GamerLegion 12%
The model gave 88% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 62%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2