IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
36%56%
TYLOO · 10 mapsedge Lynn Vision +20%Lynn Vision · 5 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
71%38%
TYLOO · 10 mapsedge TYLOO +33%Lynn Vision · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
55%57%
TYLOO · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
69%50%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge TYLOO +19%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%67%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
OverpassLynn Vision pick
60%67%
TYLOO · 6 mapsedge Lynn Vision +7%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
67%43%
TYLOO · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +24%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickLynn Vision take Overpass
5. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
6. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (55% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
TYLOO 28%Lynn Vision 72%
The model gave 72% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
TYLOO 82%Lynn Vision 18%
The model gave 82% on TYLOO — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 52%
Series resultTYLOO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2