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GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
47%46%
TYLOO · 13 mapsnearly even +1%Lynn Vision · 9 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
61%45%
TYLOO · 14 mapsedge TYLOO +16%Lynn Vision · 7 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
74%50%
TYLOO · 15 mapsedge TYLOO +24%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%63%
TYLOO · 10 mapsedge Lynn Vision +6%Lynn Vision · 4 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%60%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +10%Lynn Vision · 11 maps
OverpassLynn Vision pick
50%67%
TYLOO · 8 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
71%43%
TYLOO · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +28%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickLynn Vision take Overpass
5. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
6. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (57% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
TYLOO 48%Lynn Vision 52%
The model gave 52% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
TYLOO 68%Lynn Vision 32%
The model gave 68% on TYLOO — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Anubisprediction missed8:13
TYLOO 77%Lynn Vision 23%
The model gave 77% on TYLOO — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteTYLOO · 66%
Series resultLynn Vision 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3