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CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
TYLOO#33 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN#29 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientpaiN ban
31%50%
TYLOO · 9 mapsedge paiN +19%paiN · 0 maps
InfernoTYLOO pick
60%40%
TYLOO · 6 mapsedge TYLOO +20%paiN · 1 map
OverpasspaiN ban
67%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +17%paiN · 2 maps
NukepaiN pick
57%57%
TYLOO · 3 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
78%50%
TYLOO · 5 mapsedge TYLOO +28%paiN · 0 maps
AnubisTYLOO ban
60%57%
TYLOO · 1 mapnearly even +3%paiN · 3 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%63%
TYLOO · 0 mapsedge paiN +13%paiN · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickTYLOO take Inferno
4. PickpaiN take Nuke
5. BanpaiN remove Overpass
6. BanTYLOO remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (78% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
TYLOO 80%paiN 20%
The model gave 80% on TYLOO — the map was taken by paiN.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
TYLOO 47%paiN 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN — the map was taken by TYLOO.
Overpassprediction missed6:13
TYLOO 67%paiN 33%
The model gave 67% on TYLOO — the map was taken by paiN.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 60%
Series resultpaiN 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3