Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GameHunters#122 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
63%33%
UNO MILLE · 12 mapsedge UNO MILLE +30%GameHunters · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%33%
UNO MILLE · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%GameHunters · 5 maps
NukeUNO MILLE ban
63%43%
UNO MILLE · 4 mapsedge UNO MILLE +20%GameHunters · 3 maps
AnubisGameHunters ban
67%40%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +27%GameHunters · 1 map
InfernoGameHunters pick
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%GameHunters · 0 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
44%40%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsnearly even +4%GameHunters · 1 map
OverpassGameHunters ban
60%50%
UNO MILLE · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%GameHunters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanGameHunters remove Anubis
3. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
4. PickGameHunters take Inferno
5. BanGameHunters remove Overpass
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (43% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
UNO MILLE 75%GameHunters 25%
The model gave 75% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
UNO MILLE 63%GameHunters 37%
The model gave 63% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by UNO MILLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 59%
Series resultUNO MILLE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2