BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
56%44%
UNO MILLE · 14 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%paiN Academy · 12 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
50%42%
UNO MILLE · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +8%paiN Academy · 15 maps
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
54%45%
UNO MILLE · 9 mapsedge UNO MILLE +9%paiN Academy · 7 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
58%33%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +25%paiN Academy · 8 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
67%55%
UNO MILLE · 8 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%paiN Academy · 7 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
57%40%
UNO MILLE · 10 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%paiN Academy · 1 map
CacheUNO MILLE ban
33%44%
UNO MILLE · 5 mapsedge paiN Academy +11%paiN Academy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
4. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
6. BanUNO MILLE remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (56% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
UNO MILLE 60%paiN Academy 40%
The model gave 60% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
UNO MILLE 76%paiN Academy 24%
The model gave 76% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 71%
Series resultpaiN Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2