Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
UR#151 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BORING PLAYERS#215 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientUR ban
50%43%
UR · 0 mapsedge UR +7%BORING PLAYERS · 3 maps
NukeUR pick
50%43%
UR · 0 mapsedge UR +7%BORING PLAYERS · 3 maps
Dust2BORING PLAYERS pick
40%50%
UR · 1 mapedge BORING PLAYERS +10%BORING PLAYERS · 0 maps
InfernoBORING PLAYERS ban
50%40%
UR · 0 mapsedge UR +10%BORING PLAYERS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUR remove Ancient
2. BanBORING PLAYERS remove Inferno
3. PickUR take Nuke
4. PickBORING PLAYERS take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
UR 54%BORING PLAYERS 46%
The model gave 54% on UR — the map was taken by BORING PLAYERS.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
UR 43%BORING PLAYERS 57%
The model gave 57% on BORING PLAYERS — the map was taken by UR.
Anubisprediction missed8:13
UR 50%BORING PLAYERS 50%
The model gave 50% on UR — the map was taken by BORING PLAYERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteUR · 57%
Series resultBORING PLAYERS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3