CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Ursa#88 in the world · win 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BRUTE#217 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoUrsa pick
40%40%
Ursa · 1 mapnearly even +0%BRUTE · 1 map
Dust2Ursa ban
50%60%
Ursa · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 1 map
MirageBRUTE pick
50%40%
Ursa · 0 mapsedge Ursa +10%BRUTE · 1 map
NukeBRUTE ban
40%50%
Ursa · 1 mapedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanUrsa remove Dust2
2. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
3. PickUrsa take Inferno
4. PickBRUTE take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Ursa 43%BRUTE 57%
The model gave 57% on BRUTE — the map was taken by Ursa.
Overpassprediction correct8:13
Ursa 47%BRUTE 53%
The model gave 53% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Infernoprediction correct13:3
Ursa 50%BRUTE 50%
The model gave 50% on Ursa — the map was taken by Ursa.
Model check result
Model favoriteUrsa · 70%
Series resultUrsa 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3