CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
VEXA#257 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
paiN Academy#286 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN Academy pick
50%50%
VEXA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 6 maps
Dust2paiN Academy ban
50%33%
VEXA · 2 mapsedge VEXA +17%paiN Academy · 5 maps
AnubisVEXA pick
67%50%
VEXA · 2 mapsedge VEXA +17%paiN Academy · 2 maps
AncientpaiN Academy ban
50%50%
VEXA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
VEXA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
NukeVEXA ban
50%50%
VEXA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
OverpassVEXA ban
50%50%
VEXA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVEXA remove Nuke
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Ancient
3. PickVEXA take Anubis
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
6. BanVEXA remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:8
VEXA 69%paiN Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on VEXA — the map was taken by VEXA.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
VEXA 64%paiN Academy 36%
The model gave 64% on VEXA — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
VEXA 50%paiN Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on VEXA — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 55%
Series resultpaiN Academy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3