CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vexar#141 in the world · win 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Dripmen#231 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultDripmen ban
50%44%
Vexar · 2 mapsedge Vexar +6%Dripmen · 5 maps
InfernoDripmen pick
40%57%
Vexar · 1 mapedge Dripmen +17%Dripmen · 3 maps
AncientDripmen ban
60%33%
Vexar · 1 mapedge Vexar +27%Dripmen · 2 maps
Dust2Vexar pick
60%33%
Vexar · 1 mapedge Vexar +27%Dripmen · 2 maps
OverpassVexar ban
50%43%
Vexar · 0 mapsedge Vexar +7%Dripmen · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVexar remove Overpass
2. BanDripmen remove Ancient
3. PickVexar take Dust2
4. PickDripmen take Inferno
5. BanDripmen remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Vexar 56%Dripmen 44%
The model gave 56% on Vexar — the map was taken by Vexar.
Model check result
Model favoriteDripmen · 52%
Series resultVexar 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1