PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Villainous#209 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
Villainous · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Babag · 0 maps
AnubisVillainous pick
60%50%
Villainous · 6 mapsedge Villainous +10%Babag · 0 maps
MirageVillainous ban
40%50%
Villainous · 6 mapsedge Babag +10%Babag · 0 maps
AncientBabag pick
25%50%
Villainous · 4 mapsedge Babag +25%Babag · 0 maps
CacheBabag ban
50%50%
Villainous · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Babag · 0 maps
DefaultBabag ban
60%50%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Villainous +10%Babag · 0 maps
Dust2Villainous ban
40%50%
Villainous · 1 mapedge Babag +10%Babag · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVillainous remove Dust2
2. BanBabag remove Default
3. PickVillainous take Anubis
4. PickBabag take Ancient
5. BanBabag remove Cache
6. BanVillainous remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:1
Villainous 37%Babag 63%
The model gave 63% on Babag — the map was taken by Villainous.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Villainous 63%Babag 37%
The model gave 63% on Villainous — the map was taken by Villainous.
Model check result
Model favoriteVillainous · 59%
Series resultVillainous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2