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CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVirtus.pro pick
63%43%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +20%brazylijski luz · 17 maps
Dust2Virtus.pro ban
50%46%
Virtus.pro · 6 mapsnearly even +4%brazylijski luz · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%50%
Virtus.pro · 5 mapsedge Virtus.pro +6%brazylijski luz · 10 maps
NukeVirtus.pro ban
67%62%
Virtus.pro · 2 mapsedge Virtus.pro +5%brazylijski luz · 9 maps
Overpassbrazylijski luz ban
64%50%
Virtus.pro · 7 mapsedge Virtus.pro +14%brazylijski luz · 2 maps
Anubisbrazylijski luz ban
50%57%
Virtus.pro · 4 mapsedge brazylijski luz +7%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
Defaultbrazylijski luz pick
40%57%
Virtus.pro · 1 mapedge brazylijski luz +17%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVirtus.pro remove Nuke
2. Banbrazylijski luz remove Overpass
3. PickVirtus.pro take Ancient
4. Pickbrazylijski luz take Default
5. Banbrazylijski luz remove Anubis
6. BanVirtus.pro remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Virtus.pro 57%brazylijski luz 43%
The model gave 57% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Virtus.pro 53%brazylijski luz 47%
The model gave 53% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 63%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2