Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
JiJieHao#47 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2JiJieHao ban
50%25%
Virtus.pro · 16 mapsedge Virtus.pro +25%JiJieHao · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%67%
Virtus.pro · 15 mapsnearly even -4%JiJieHao · 5 maps
AncientJiJieHao pick
60%69%
Virtus.pro · 6 mapsedge JiJieHao +9%JiJieHao · 9 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
71%40%
Virtus.pro · 10 mapsedge Virtus.pro +31%JiJieHao · 1 map
OverpassVirtus.pro pick
64%40%
Virtus.pro · 10 mapsedge Virtus.pro +24%JiJieHao · 1 map
AnubisVirtus.pro ban
50%50%
Virtus.pro · 6 mapsnearly even +0%JiJieHao · 2 maps
InfernoVirtus.pro ban
50%67%
Virtus.pro · 0 mapsedge JiJieHao +17%JiJieHao · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVirtus.pro remove Inferno
2. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
3. PickVirtus.pro take Overpass
4. PickJiJieHao take Ancient
5. BanJiJieHao remove Dust2
6. BanVirtus.pro remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (63% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Virtus.pro 37%JiJieHao 63%
The model gave 63% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Virtus.pro 77%JiJieHao 23%
The model gave 77% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 76%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2