BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z#17 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality ban
40%56%
Vitality · 6 mapsedge 9z +16%9z · 12 maps
InfernoVitality pick
67%54%
Vitality · 5 mapsedge Vitality +13%9z · 9 maps
Mirage9z ban
50%46%
Vitality · 4 mapsnearly even +4%9z · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%50%
Vitality · 5 mapsedge Vitality +17%9z · 8 maps
Overpass9z pick
67%70%
Vitality · 2 mapsnearly even -3%9z · 6 maps
Anubis9z ban
22%50%
Vitality · 5 mapsedge 9z +28%9z · 0 maps
AncientVitality ban
50%38%
Vitality · 0 mapsedge Vitality +12%9z · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitality remove Ancient
2. Ban9z remove Anubis
3. PickVitality take Inferno
4. Pick9z take Overpass
5. Ban9z remove Mirage
6. BanVitality remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
Vitality 32%9z 68%
The model gave 68% on 9z — the map was taken by Vitality.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Vitality 69%9z 31%
The model gave 69% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 63%
Series resultVitality 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2