BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vitality#4 in the world · win 2:1series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2#7 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Vitality pick
40%60%
Vitality · 1 mapedge G2 +20%G2 · 1 map
MirageG2 pick
60%50%
Vitality · 1 mapedge Vitality +10%G2 · 0 maps
NukeG2 ban
60%50%
Vitality · 1 mapedge Vitality +10%G2 · 0 maps
OverpassVitality ban
50%60%
Vitality · 0 mapsedge G2 +10%G2 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitality remove Overpass
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickVitality take Dust2
4. PickG2 take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct16:13
Vitality 57%G2 43%
The model gave 57% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Overpassprediction correct11:13
Vitality 43%G2 57%
The model gave 57% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
Vitality 31%G2 69%
The model gave 69% on G2 — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 85%
Series resultVitality 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3