BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Inner Circle#28 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle pick
40%77%
Vitality · 6 mapsedge Inner Circle +37%Inner Circle · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%55%
Vitality · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle +5%Inner Circle · 7 maps
NukeInner Circle ban
67%70%
Vitality · 5 mapsnearly even -3%Inner Circle · 6 maps
AncientVitality ban
50%69%
Vitality · 0 mapsedge Inner Circle +19%Inner Circle · 9 maps
AnubisVitality ban
25%50%
Vitality · 4 mapsedge Inner Circle +25%Inner Circle · 4 maps
OverpassVitality pick
67%50%
Vitality · 2 mapsedge Vitality +17%Inner Circle · 4 maps
InfernoInner Circle ban
67%50%
Vitality · 5 mapsedge Vitality +17%Inner Circle · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVitality remove Ancient
2. BanInner Circle remove Inferno
3. PickVitality take Overpass
4. PickInner Circle take Dust2
5. BanInner Circle remove Nuke
6. BanVitality remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
Vitality 23%Inner Circle 77%
The model gave 77% on Inner Circle — the map was taken by Inner Circle.
Cacheprediction missed13:16
Vitality 53%Inner Circle 47%
The model gave 53% on Vitality — the map was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 86%
Series resultInner Circle 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2