ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient100 Thieves ban
68%50%
Voca · 15 mapsedge Voca +18%100 Thieves · 10 maps
Dust2Voca pick
79%71%
Voca · 10 mapsedge Voca +8%100 Thieves · 10 maps
NukeVoca ban
45%50%
Voca · 7 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%100 Thieves · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
80%62%
Voca · 6 mapsedge Voca +18%100 Thieves · 9 maps
Anubis100 Thieves pick
50%54%
Voca · 4 mapsnearly even -4%100 Thieves · 9 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
33%60%
Voca · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +27%100 Thieves · 1 map
InfernoVoca ban
50%58%
Voca · 0 mapsedge 100 Thieves +8%100 Thieves · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. Pick100 Thieves take Anubis
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Ancient
6. BanVoca remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (80% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Voca 57%100 Thieves 43%
The model gave 57% on Voca — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
Voca 71%100 Thieves 29%
The model gave 71% on Voca — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 66%
Series result100 Thieves 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2