ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Voca#76 in the worldseries probability
50%50%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
FFarmVille
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Voca pick
67%60%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +7%FarmVille · 1 map
AncientFarmVille ban
56%50%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +6%FarmVille · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
63%60%
Voca · 4 mapsnearly even +3%FarmVille · 1 map
CacheFarmVille pick
38%50%
Voca · 4 mapsedge FarmVille +12%FarmVille · 0 maps
NukeFarmVille ban
57%50%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Voca +7%FarmVille · 0 maps
AnubisVoca ban
40%50%
Voca · 1 mapedge FarmVille +10%FarmVille · 0 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%40%
Voca · 0 mapsedge Voca +10%FarmVille · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanFarmVille remove Nuke
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. PickFarmVille take Cache
5. BanFarmVille remove Ancient
6. BanVoca remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (63% / 60%)