Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
Voca#67 in the worldseries probability
70%30%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
HAVU#107 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeVoca ban
45%75%
Voca · 7 mapsedge HAVU +30%HAVU · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%40%
Voca · 14 mapsedge Voca +27%HAVU · 6 maps
Dust2HAVU ban
71%36%
Voca · 10 mapsedge Voca +35%HAVU · 10 maps
MirageVoca ban
75%56%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +19%HAVU · 14 maps
CacheHAVU ban
36%33%
Voca · 7 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 5 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%40%
Voca · 0 mapsedge Voca +10%HAVU · 6 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
50%40%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +10%HAVU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. BanVoca remove Nuke
4. BanHAVU remove Dust2
5. BanVoca remove Mirage
6. BanHAVU remove Cache
DeciderAncient (67% / 40%)