PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#92 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NRG#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNRG ban
67%50%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Voca +17%NRG · 6 maps
CacheNRG pick
44%82%
Voca · 5 mapsedge NRG +38%NRG · 7 maps
Dust2Voca pick
83%71%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Voca +12%NRG · 3 maps
MirageVoca ban
75%67%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +8%NRG · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
43%63%
Voca · 3 mapsedge NRG +20%NRG · 4 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%56%
Voca · 0 mapsedge NRG +6%NRG · 5 maps
AnubisNRG ban
50%50%
Voca · 2 mapsnearly even +0%NRG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanNRG remove Anubis
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. PickNRG take Cache
5. BanNRG remove Ancient
6. BanVoca remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (43% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Voca 34%NRG 66%
The model gave 66% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Cacheprediction correct5:13
Voca 14%NRG 86%
The model gave 86% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 63%
Series resultNRG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2