Circuit X BLAST Open Porto 2026 North America Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NuTorious#202 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
58%50%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Voca +8%NuTorious · 2 maps
OverpassNuTorious ban
50%50%
Voca · 6 mapsnearly even +0%NuTorious · 0 maps
MirageNuTorious pick
43%50%
Voca · 3 mapsedge NuTorious +7%NuTorious · 2 maps
AncientVoca pick
67%50%
Voca · 2 mapsedge Voca +17%NuTorious · 0 maps
NukeVoca ban
60%40%
Voca · 1 mapedge Voca +20%NuTorious · 1 map
AnubisVoca ban
40%50%
Voca · 1 mapedge NuTorious +10%NuTorious · 0 maps
DefaultNuTorious ban
60%50%
Voca · 1 mapedge Voca +10%NuTorious · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Anubis
2. BanNuTorious remove Overpass
3. PickVoca take Ancient
4. PickNuTorious take Mirage
5. BanNuTorious remove Default
6. BanVoca remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (58% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
Voca 64%NuTorious 36%
The model gave 64% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Voca 46%NuTorious 54%
The model gave 54% on NuTorious — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 61%
Series resultVoca 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2