Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
Voca#67 in the worldseries probability
58%42%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Phantom#87 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPhantom ban
67%50%
Voca · 14 mapsedge Voca +17%Phantom · 18 maps
Nukepossible decider
45%47%
Voca · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Phantom · 11 maps
Dust2Phantom ban
71%55%
Voca · 10 mapsedge Voca +16%Phantom · 7 maps
AnubisVoca ban
50%45%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +5%Phantom · 7 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%53%
Voca · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Phantom · 11 maps
MiragePhantom ban
75%45%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +30%Phantom · 7 maps
CacheVoca ban
36%33%
Voca · 7 mapsnearly even +3%Phantom · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanPhantom remove Mirage
3. BanVoca remove Anubis
4. BanPhantom remove Dust2
5. BanVoca remove Cache
6. BanPhantom remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (45% / 47%)