ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · win 13:3series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 13:3
Prestige#100 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPrestige ban
67%33%
Voca · 14 mapsedge Voca +34%Prestige · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
79%60%
Voca · 10 mapsedge Voca +19%Prestige · 1 map
NukeVoca ban
45%67%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Prestige +22%Prestige · 2 maps
CachePrestige ban
33%50%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Prestige +17%Prestige · 0 maps
MiragePrestige ban
80%60%
Voca · 6 mapsedge Voca +20%Prestige · 1 map
AnubisVoca ban
50%40%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +10%Prestige · 1 map
InfernoVoca ban
50%43%
Voca · 0 mapsedge Voca +7%Prestige · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanPrestige remove Cache
3. BanVoca remove Anubis
4. BanPrestige remove Mirage
5. BanVoca remove Nuke
6. BanPrestige remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (79% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Voca 80%Prestige 20%
The model gave 80% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 55%
Series resultVoca 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1