Circuit X BLAST Open Porto 2026 North America Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
regain#199 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVoca pick
71%62%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Voca +9%regain · 9 maps
Dust2regain pick
58%71%
Voca · 8 mapsedge regain +13%regain · 3 maps
Mirageregain ban
50%56%
Voca · 4 mapsedge regain +6%regain · 5 maps
Overpassregain ban
50%40%
Voca · 6 mapsedge Voca +10%regain · 1 map
InfernoVoca ban
50%56%
Voca · 0 mapsedge regain +6%regain · 5 maps
AnubisVoca ban
40%60%
Voca · 1 mapedge regain +20%regain · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
50%60%
Voca · 0 mapsedge regain +10%regain · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. Banregain remove Overpass
3. PickVoca take Ancient
4. Pickregain take Dust2
5. Banregain remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Anubis
DeciderCache (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Voca 42%regain 58%
The model gave 58% on regain — the map was taken by Voca.
Dust2prediction missed13:5
Voca 39%regain 61%
The model gave 61% on regain — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 53%
Series resultVoca 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2