ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Voca#76 in the worldseries probability
53%47%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
SSurge
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVoca pick
56%50%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +6%Surge · 0 maps
Dust2Surge ban
67%50%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +17%Surge · 0 maps
CacheSurge pick
38%50%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Surge +12%Surge · 0 maps
MirageSurge ban
63%50%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +13%Surge · 0 maps
NukeVoca ban
57%50%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Voca +7%Surge · 0 maps
AnubisVoca ban
40%50%
Voca · 1 mapedge Surge +10%Surge · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Anubis
2. BanSurge remove Dust2
3. PickVoca take Ancient
4. PickSurge take Cache
5. BanSurge remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Nuke