CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
54%30%
Walczaki · 24 mapsedge Walczaki +24%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
43%60%
Walczaki · 17 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 11 maps
Anubispossible decider
61%38%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Walczaki +23%ex-RUSTEC · 4 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
65%50%
Walczaki · 16 mapsedge Walczaki +15%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
56%38%
Walczaki · 12 mapsedge Walczaki +18%ex-RUSTEC · 4 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
69%67%
Walczaki · 9 mapsnearly even +2%ex-RUSTEC · 5 maps
Cacheex-RUSTEC pick
33%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +17%ex-RUSTEC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Cache
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (61% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Walczaki 71%ex-RUSTEC 29%
The model gave 71% on Walczaki — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Walczaki 31%ex-RUSTEC 69%
The model gave 69% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 73%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2