BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#146 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HYPERSPIRIT#135 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT ban
63%40%
Walczaki · 4 mapsedge Walczaki +23%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
NukeWalczaki pick
67%50%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%60%
Walczaki · 3 mapsnearly even -3%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
AncientHYPERSPIRIT pick
57%50%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +7%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
40%33%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge Walczaki +7%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
InfernoHYPERSPIRIT ban
67%50%
Walczaki · 2 mapsedge Walczaki +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
OverpassWalczaki ban
40%40%
Walczaki · 1 mapnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Inferno
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Ancient
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Anubis
6. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Walczaki 54%HYPERSPIRIT 46%
The model gave 54% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Walczaki 69%HYPERSPIRIT 31%
The model gave 69% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 61%
Series resultWalczaki 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2