CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
68%63%
Walczaki · 15 mapsedge Walczaki +5%Nemiga · 4 maps
AncientWalczaki ban
71%56%
Walczaki · 10 mapsedge Walczaki +15%Nemiga · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
75%43%
Walczaki · 8 mapsedge Walczaki +32%Nemiga · 3 maps
MirageNemiga ban
67%44%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +23%Nemiga · 5 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
67%57%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +10%Nemiga · 3 maps
OverpassWalczaki ban
33%80%
Walczaki · 2 mapsedge Nemiga +47%Nemiga · 6 maps
DefaultNemiga pick
56%50%
Walczaki · 5 mapsedge Walczaki +6%Nemiga · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Overpass
2. BanNemiga remove Dust2
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. PickNemiga take Default
5. BanNemiga remove Mirage
6. BanWalczaki remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (75% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Walczaki 57%Nemiga 43%
The model gave 57% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Walczaki 59%Nemiga 41%
The model gave 59% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
Walczaki 67%Nemiga 33%
The model gave 67% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 55%
Series resultNemiga 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3