GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Walczaki ban
31%50%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Rune Eaters +19%Rune Eaters · 24 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
56%60%
Walczaki · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Rune Eaters · 21 map
Ancientpossible decider
55%45%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge Walczaki +10%Rune Eaters · 18 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
54%50%
Walczaki · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Rune Eaters · 10 maps
AnubisWalczaki pick
56%67%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Rune Eaters +11%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
57%44%
Walczaki · 10 mapsedge Walczaki +13%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
CacheWalczaki ban
30%60%
Walczaki · 6 mapsedge Rune Eaters +30%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
6. BanWalczaki remove Cache
DeciderAncient (55% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Walczaki 50%Rune Eaters 50%
The model gave 50% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 51%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1