FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wanted Goons#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LAG#91 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoWanted Goons ban
33%33%
Wanted Goons · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LAG · 5 maps
NukeLAG pick
50%71%
Wanted Goons · 2 mapsedge LAG +21%LAG · 3 maps
AncientWanted Goons ban
50%33%
Wanted Goons · 2 mapsedge Wanted Goons +17%LAG · 2 maps
MirageLAG ban
40%57%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge LAG +17%LAG · 3 maps
Dust2Wanted Goons pick
67%60%
Wanted Goons · 2 mapsedge Wanted Goons +7%LAG · 1 map
DefaultLAG ban
40%50%
Wanted Goons · 1 mapedge LAG +10%LAG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWanted Goons remove Inferno
2. BanLAG remove Default
3. PickWanted Goons take Dust2
4. PickLAG take Nuke
5. BanLAG remove Mirage
6. BanWanted Goons remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Wanted Goons 26%LAG 74%
The model gave 74% on LAG — the map was taken by LAG.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
Wanted Goons 60%LAG 40%
The model gave 60% on Wanted Goons — the map was taken by LAG.
Model check result
Model favoriteLAG · 64%
Series resultLAG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2