POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MASONIC#187 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWashed pick
57%64%
Washed · 3 mapsedge MASONIC +7%MASONIC · 7 maps
AncientMASONIC pick
50%42%
Washed · 0 mapsedge Washed +8%MASONIC · 8 maps
Dust2Washed ban
50%55%
Washed · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +5%MASONIC · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%44%
Washed · 1 mapedge Washed +16%MASONIC · 5 maps
OverpassWashed ban
50%63%
Washed · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +13%MASONIC · 4 maps
AnubisMASONIC ban
60%50%
Washed · 1 mapedge Washed +10%MASONIC · 2 maps
MirageMASONIC ban
57%50%
Washed · 3 mapsedge Washed +7%MASONIC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWashed remove Overpass
2. BanMASONIC remove Mirage
3. PickWashed take Nuke
4. PickMASONIC take Ancient
5. BanMASONIC remove Anubis
6. BanWashed remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
Washed 68%MASONIC 32%
The model gave 68% on Washed — the map was taken by Washed.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Washed 40%MASONIC 60%
The model gave 60% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Washed 58%MASONIC 42%
The model gave 58% on Washed — the map was taken by Washed.
Model check result
Model favoriteMASONIC · 64%
Series resultWashed 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3