?
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageWBT ban
50%56%
WBT · 10 mapsedge Endless Journey +6%Endless Journey · 12 maps
Dust2Endless Journey pick
57%67%
WBT · 10 mapsedge Endless Journey +10%Endless Journey · 11 maps
AnubisWBT pick
53%38%
WBT · 13 mapsedge WBT +15%Endless Journey · 4 maps
AncientEndless Journey ban
55%33%
WBT · 7 mapsedge WBT +22%Endless Journey · 5 maps
NukeEndless Journey ban
57%50%
WBT · 3 mapsedge WBT +7%Endless Journey · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
WBT · 1 mapnearly even +0%Endless Journey · 6 maps
InfernoWBT ban
60%40%
WBT · 1 mapedge WBT +20%Endless Journey · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. PickEndless Journey take Dust2
5. BanEndless Journey remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
WBT 73%Endless Journey 27%
The model gave 73% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
WBT 41%Endless Journey 59%
The model gave 59% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
WBT 57%Endless Journey 43%
The model gave 57% on WBT — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 61%
Series resultEndless Journey 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3