HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · win 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SAW Youngsters pick
58%45%
WBT · 15 mapsedge WBT +13%SAW Youngsters · 16 maps
MirageWBT ban
43%37%
WBT · 10 mapsedge WBT +6%SAW Youngsters · 15 maps
Ancientpossible decider
59%50%
WBT · 13 mapsedge WBT +9%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
AnubisWBT pick
58%58%
WBT · 15 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 8 maps
InfernoWBT ban
50%70%
WBT · 2 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +20%SAW Youngsters · 19 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
58%36%
WBT · 8 mapsedge WBT +22%SAW Youngsters · 7 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
36%50%
WBT · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +14%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Dust2
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (59% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
WBT 60%SAW Youngsters 40%
The model gave 60% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
WBT 53%SAW Youngsters 47%
The model gave 53% on WBT — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
WBT 56%SAW Youngsters 44%
The model gave 56% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 70%
Series resultWBT 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3