Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 13:3
BORING PLAYERS#215 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%43%
Wings of Freedom · 0 mapsedge Wings of Freedom +7%BORING PLAYERS · 3 maps
NukeWings of Freedom ban
50%50%
Wings of Freedom · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BORING PLAYERS · 2 maps
InfernoBORING PLAYERS ban
50%40%
Wings of Freedom · 0 mapsedge Wings of Freedom +10%BORING PLAYERS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWings of Freedom remove Nuke
2. BanBORING PLAYERS remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Wings of Freedom 50%BORING PLAYERS 50%
The model gave 50% on Wings of Freedom — the map was taken by Wings of Freedom.
Model check result
Model favoriteBORING PLAYERS · 55%
Series resultWings of Freedom 13:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1