WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#125 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WW pick
45%50%
WW · 18 mapsedge DYNASTIYA +5%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
WW · 12 mapsnearly even +0%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
AnubisWW ban
55%50%
WW · 7 mapsedge WW +5%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
AncientWW ban
40%50%
WW · 6 mapsedge DYNASTIYA +10%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
CacheDYNASTIYA pick
44%50%
WW · 5 mapsedge DYNASTIYA +6%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
NukeDYNASTIYA ban
63%50%
WW · 4 mapsedge WW +13%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
InfernoDYNASTIYA ban
60%50%
WW · 1 mapedge WW +10%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Ancient
2. BanDYNASTIYA remove Nuke
3. PickWW take Dust2
4. PickDYNASTIYA take Cache
5. BanDYNASTIYA remove Inferno
6. BanWW remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
WW 47%DYNASTIYA 53%
The model gave 53% on DYNASTIYA — the map was taken by WW.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
WW 48%DYNASTIYA 52%
The model gave 52% on DYNASTIYA — the map was taken by WW.
Model check result
Model favoriteWW · 63%
Series resultWW 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2