CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#123 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gentle Mates#38 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWW ban
33%42%
WW · 2 mapsedge Gentle Mates +9%Gentle Mates · 8 maps
InfernoGentle Mates pick
60%58%
WW · 1 mapnearly even +2%Gentle Mates · 8 maps
MirageWW pick
71%50%
WW · 3 mapsedge WW +21%Gentle Mates · 6 maps
AncientWW ban
50%73%
WW · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +23%Gentle Mates · 7 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%57%
WW · 2 mapsedge Gentle Mates +7%Gentle Mates · 3 maps
Dust2Gentle Mates ban
50%50%
WW · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Gentle Mates · 0 maps
OverpassGentle Mates ban
50%57%
WW · 0 mapsedge Gentle Mates +7%Gentle Mates · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Ancient
2. BanGentle Mates remove Dust2
3. PickWW take Mirage
4. PickGentle Mates take Inferno
5. BanGentle Mates remove Overpass
6. BanWW remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
WW 49%Gentle Mates 51%
The model gave 51% on Gentle Mates — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
WW 74%Gentle Mates 26%
The model gave 74% on WW — the map was taken by Gentle Mates.
Model check result
Model favoriteGentle Mates · 70%
Series resultGentle Mates 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2