WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#125 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Y27win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WW pick
54%50%
WW · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Y27 · 0 maps
MirageY27 ban
58%50%
WW · 8 mapsedge WW +8%Y27 · 0 maps
AnubisWW ban
44%50%
WW · 5 mapsedge Y27 +6%Y27 · 0 maps
CacheWW ban
38%50%
WW · 4 mapsedge Y27 +12%Y27 · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%50%
WW · 3 mapsedge WW +7%Y27 · 0 maps
InfernoY27 ban
60%50%
WW · 1 mapedge WW +10%Y27 · 0 maps
OverpassY27 pick
40%50%
WW · 1 mapedge Y27 +10%Y27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Cache
2. BanY27 remove Inferno
3. PickWW take Dust2
4. PickY27 take Overpass
5. BanY27 remove Mirage
6. BanWW remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
WW 47%Y27 53%
The model gave 53% on Y27 — the map was taken by Y27.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
WW 57%Y27 43%
The model gave 57% on WW — the map was taken by Y27.
Model check result
Model favoriteWW · 74%
Series resultY27 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2