MaceMedia VOID Autumn Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
WXM#344 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitalem Aerem#206 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVitalem Aerem pick
29%44%
WXM · 3 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +15%Vitalem Aerem · 12 maps
Dust2WXM ban
43%53%
WXM · 3 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +10%Vitalem Aerem · 11 maps
InfernoVitalem Aerem ban
40%36%
WXM · 1 mapnearly even +4%Vitalem Aerem · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%44%
WXM · 2 mapsedge WXM +6%Vitalem Aerem · 5 maps
MirageVitalem Aerem ban
57%50%
WXM · 3 mapsedge WXM +7%Vitalem Aerem · 2 maps
AnubisWXM pick
60%50%
WXM · 1 mapedge WXM +10%Vitalem Aerem · 2 maps
DefaultWXM ban
50%60%
WXM · 0 mapsedge Vitalem Aerem +10%Vitalem Aerem · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWXM remove Dust2
2. BanVitalem Aerem remove Mirage
3. PickWXM take Anubis
4. PickVitalem Aerem take Ancient
5. BanVitalem Aerem remove Inferno
6. BanWXM remove Default
DeciderNuke (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
WXM 37%Vitalem Aerem 63%
The model gave 63% on Vitalem Aerem — the map was taken by Vitalem Aerem.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
WXM 37%Vitalem Aerem 63%
The model gave 63% on Vitalem Aerem — the map was taken by Vitalem Aerem.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitalem Aerem · 62%
Series resultVitalem Aerem 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2