GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xcity#225 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Y27loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientXcity pick
50%57%
Xcity · 2 mapsedge Y27 +7%Y27 · 3 maps
Dust2Xcity ban
33%57%
Xcity · 2 mapsedge Y27 +24%Y27 · 3 maps
AnubisY27 ban
33%40%
Xcity · 2 mapsedge Y27 +7%Y27 · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
40%40%
Xcity · 1 mapnearly even +0%Y27 · 1 map
MirageXcity ban
40%40%
Xcity · 1 mapnearly even +0%Y27 · 1 map
DefaultY27 pick
60%50%
Xcity · 1 mapedge Xcity +10%Y27 · 0 maps
InfernoY27 ban
40%50%
Xcity · 1 mapedge Y27 +10%Y27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanXcity remove Dust2
2. BanY27 remove Inferno
3. PickXcity take Ancient
4. PickY27 take Default
5. BanY27 remove Anubis
6. BanXcity remove Mirage
DeciderCache (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
Xcity 47%Y27 53%
The model gave 53% on Y27 — the map was taken by Y27.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Xcity 46%Y27 54%
The model gave 54% on Y27 — the map was taken by Xcity.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
Xcity 43%Y27 57%
The model gave 57% on Y27 — the map was taken by Xcity.
Model check result
Model favoriteXcity · 52%
Series resultXcity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3